So, there are a lot of people hating on Bonesaw. I understand. He shtick seems to revolve around Football Dervish to pass the ball to an ally and then pass it back to gain mp. I agree that this is not a good plan. With the kick stats of the Morticians this is bound to fail too often to be reliable.
I have another proposal: Bonesaw is good at scoring goals, and Meditation is what makes that possible. Here is the chances of getting off a goal after meditating:
Number of Dice
It makes the worse chance a coin flip if it’s target number 5 and he gets down to 1 die. That is a useful shortcut if you know what the chances are with different amounts of dice. That means if you have to influence to meditate before a shot you have the same chance as double the dice. That makes the extra die from bonus time like two extra dice. TFor example: if you would normally be rolling 2 dice and you bonus time and then meditate then you have to the same chance as rolling 6 dice. Bonesaw turns a bad situation into a near likely goal.
Let’s put Bonesaw in the worst possible situation: Crowded out to 1 dice shooting against Butchers with Tenderizer (needs a 5). On one dice that has a 33% chance of succeeding. If you meditate it, it goes up to 56%. The same chance if you meditate it that shot instead, since meditation essentially doubles the dice. If you bonus time and then meditate the shot it goes up to 80%. He should make that shot 4 out of 5 times he tries it. I think that’s pretty great.
Now this does take resources to do. Every Meditation that you pay for during the game costs you 1 influence (so the shot would cost 2 influence, total). I don’t see the problem in spending 2 influence to make 4 vp as too much of an investment though, since a lot of players spend that or more regularly to make goals. It also helps his defenses after he makes that first goal, letting him survive to make another one.
Note: As it was pointed out to me after I wrote this, Meditation is only during your activation. Therefore, a meditated snap shot can only occur if he football legends into it, which is just asking for something to go wrong. With that in mind I left the paragraph because all the information is correct.
Speaking of that, I wonder how good he is at snap shooting. In general it’s only a good idea to snapshot if you are within 4 of the goal with 2 dice or have 3+ dice. And that is still only a coin flip. It’s never really a good idea to snap shot on a 5+. Meditation makes snap shots 20% more likely all around. Snap shots are a really risky play, mathematically, unless you can get a lot of dice so I would advise against it. If you are going to make goals with Bonesaw you want to Meditate regular kicks on goal and not try for a snap shot.
As a side note: Charging with Bonesaw and getting a wrap for double Unexpected Arrival is also pretty good.
Chance to Double Unexpected Arrival
Not very likely in most instances (Stave is the ideal target), but I’ve had it done to Fillet when she got knocked down and crowded out, so it can happen.
View question time! I was asked to find the probability of Bonesaw getting a double Unexpected Arrival on a Charge, with Confidence up. So here we go:
Chance to Double Unexpected Arrival with Confidence
This makes getting it on Stave (2/0) almost guaranteed at 98%. 4/1 is the most common defense in the game and you now have a 10% chance of getting that double Unexpected arrival. I would not really expect to get the double with confidence above the 3/0 defense marker, which is much better than only getting it half the time against Stave and no one else.